Unlimited Perspectives Designs

The Challenges Before Sprint

Sprint ( S ) announced results this morning that were, to put it mildly, disappointing, sending the stock headed for the toilet:

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Opinion on the street is all over the place on this issue. Net postpaid subscriber loss was materially worse than expected (-100k, roughly) but total adds, including prepaids, were up. One of the confounding factors is the deal with Lightsquared, which has deployment problems related to possible GPS interference issues.

That issue is not trivial. I've done a fair bit of reading on it and it's not at all clear who's in the right on this one, but for Lightsquared and its 4G deployment, it doesn't really matter.

This is not to say that there isn't plenty of egg to go around; there is. How Lightsquared managed to get itself a license it can't use, when it disclosed its intent before acquiring it and apparently has primary user access in that band, is an open question. There are potential irregularities in the licensing process that have yet to be exposed and hashed out, and despite looking into it with some diligence, I can't figure out whether ultimate responsibility for this should lie with the company or with the government.

In the end, however, while Lightsqured might get some sort of compensation if sold a pig in the poke, for Sprint and its customer base, it won't matter if Lightsquared gets compensated or not. Therefore, the proper analysis in my view is, "What are the odds this use of spectrum is blocked?" The answer is "Quite high," irrespective of the merits.

A short primer is in order. If you have primary user status you're presumed to have the right to transmit in the spectrum you're licensed for at the power levels you were approved to use. However, there's a catch-all in the form of the "interference" clause.

You clearly cannot intentionally interfere with anyone else. You also can't interfere with a primary user in your band if you're a secondary user. But if you're not "splattering" outside of your allocated band if someone on an adjacent band is interfered with priority becomes a more-sticky issue.

Public-safety, military and similar users "win" these conflicts in the general case. But what if the reason for the interference is that the other folks' radio designers did not bother to put sufficiently-selective filters into their equipment -- some of which is 10 or more years old? In other words, can an industry practice of being cheap screw an allocation made years later to a different company, effectively granting the interfered-with user a blockade on spectrum that he was never licensed and authorized to use?

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